Unemployment Claims Rise Despite May 2025 Job Gains

Trump's job gains mask tariff risks, rising inequality, and a shaky economy. What's at stake?

Unemployment claims rise despite May 2025 job gains FactArrow

Published: June 6, 2025

Written by Catherine Garcia

A Deceptive Glow

The White House heralds a May 2025 jobs report, boasting 139,000 new positions as evidence of an economic triumph. Administration supporters highlight rising wages and private sector growth, crafting a narrative of unstoppable success. Yet, this glossy picture conceals cracks that jeopardize the well-being of countless Americans.

The current economic strategy, built on steep tariffs and deregulation, claims to champion American workers. But who truly reaps the rewards? The jobs report, praised by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, emphasizes gains in leisure, hospitality, and construction. These often low-paying, unstable roles fail to meet the needs of families seeking lasting security. The celebration rings empty when examined closely.

For those committed to fair economic progress, these claims demand rigorous examination. Are these jobs built to last? Do they uplift the most vulnerable? Recent data and historical patterns reveal an economy propped up by fleeting gains and precarious policies.

The administration emphasizes that native-born workers have secured all job gains since January 2025. This figure, though notable, overlooks a labor force participation rate that slipped to 62.4% in May. Fewer individuals are even looking for work, signaling frustration or systemic obstacles. Weekly unemployment claims, now at their highest since October 2024, further undermine the narrative of universal prosperity.

What explains this gap? The administration's 'America First' policies, especially the 10% tariff on all imports, have disrupted supply chains and sown uncertainty. Economists note that these measures curb capital investment and slow hiring in manufacturing, undermining the very workers the policies aim to support.

Tariffs' Hidden Costs

Tariffs, the backbone of this economic approach, are pitched as a defense for American jobs. In reality, they cut both ways. Since April 2025, the 10% import duties, with up to 50% on goods from 57 nations, have driven up costs for businesses and consumers. Companies are rushing to reconfigure supply chains, but the unpredictability stalls investment. Manufacturing, a sector the administration prioritizes, now faces hiring slowdowns as firms grapple with rising expenses.

History offers a cautionary tale. The 1930s Smoot-Hawley Tariff, a protectionist misstep, worsened the Great Depression by strangling global trade. Today's tariffs, though less severe, invite similar risks. Trading partners are considering retaliatory actions, which could shrink markets for American exports. Low-income consumers, already struggling, face the steepest price hikes for everyday essentials.

Advocates for equitable economic policies warn that tariffs deepen inequality. Evidence confirms that low-wage workers in retail and manufacturing suffer most from rising costs. The administration's focus on private sector jobs, accounting for 99.8% of gains since January, dismisses the value of public investment. Under the Biden administration, one in four jobs stemmed from government initiatives in infrastructure and community development. Rejecting this model as wasteful ignores its track record of fostering enduring stability.

Supporters like economist Steve Moore hail a 'blockbuster economy' with 4.5% GDP growth and low inflation. Yet, independent data paints a bleaker picture. First-quarter GDP shrank by 1.6% in 2025, and inflation, at 2.3% in April, is expected to exceed 3% by late 2025 as tariff effects spread. The optimistic rhetoric falters under closer inspection.

Building a Stronger Future

To genuinely support American workers, we need more than tariff-driven posturing. Public investment in workforce training, education, and infrastructure has a proven record of driving prosperity. Historical successes, from the New Deal to post-2008 recovery efforts, demonstrate that government-led initiatives create jobs and narrow inequality. Why turn away from what delivers results?

Workers displaced by trade policies, particularly in manufacturing regions, require robust support systems. Research shows that without retraining and community investment, these individuals face long-term income losses. Yet, the administration's push for deregulation and tax cuts prioritizes corporate interests over human needs. Proposals to permanently extend the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act divert resources from public programs that could revitalize struggling communities.

This strategy lacks staying power. Forecasts suggest that prolonged high tariffs could reduce long-run GDP by up to 6% and wages by 5%. Rather than leaning into protectionism, the path forward involves multilateral trade agreements with strong labor and environmental protections. These approaches, endorsed by prior administrations, promote global cooperation and safeguard workers without isolating the U.S. economy.

A Defining Choice

The administration's jobs report, though a moment of progress, obscures a critical reality: economic nationalism carries steep costs. For every job added in hospitality or construction, others are endangered by trade disputes and neglected communities. Americans deserve an economy that elevates everyone, ensuring benefits are widespread.

We face a pivotal moment. Will we pursue fleeting gains that widen inequality, or commit to a future where every worker thrives? The evidence supports one path: strategic public investment, fair trade, and strong safety nets. These principles represent a dedication to opportunity for all.

For those who value equity and progress, the way forward is unmistakable. The focus shifts to policies that place people above profits and unity above isolation. The jobs hype may sparkle, but it's time to forge an economy that endures and uplifts every American.