Orbital Arms Race Fears Grow With Space Force Expansion

Space Force's rise sparks debate on militarization, budgets, and inclusion. Explore a vision for space prioritizing peace, diversity, and science over conflict.

Space militarization risks global conflict as budgets soar. FactArrow

Published: July 1, 2025

Written by Kevin Wood

A New Frontier Stirs Debate

Master Sgt. Allison Thodos, a Space Force flight chief at the National Space Defense Center, embodies the promise of military service. Her journey from Air Force recruit to intelligence analyst, featured in a recent Department of Defense profile, highlights dedication and skill. Her story arrives amid growing unease about the Space Force's rapid expansion and its implications for global stability.

Since its creation in 2019, the Space Force has grown to nearly 13,000 Guardians, with a 2025 budget request nearing $30 billion. The National Space Defense Center, where Thodos serves, integrates data to protect U.S. satellites. While these efforts aim to secure national interests, they also fuel concerns about an arms race in orbit, where tensions could escalate without clear international rules.

Space is no longer a distant frontier. Over 8,000 satellites power a $2 trillion slice of the U.S. economy, from GPS to banking. But as nations like China and Russia advance counter-space technologies, the push to dominate orbit raises questions. Should the U.S. prioritize military might or lead with diplomacy and shared prosperity?

The Cost of Orbital Ambition

Government Accountability Office reports reveal ballooning costs for space programs, with satellite replacements projected to rise 20 percent over the next decade due to emerging threats. These figures trouble many Americans, as polls show 62 percent of young people question surging defense budgets when domestic needs like healthcare and education compete for funds.

The Space Force's focus on advanced systems often overshadows the human element. Recruitment campaigns spotlight success stories like Thodos, but retention hinges on support for work-life balance, childcare, and mental health. Without these, the military risks losing talent to tech firms offering better pay and flexibility.

Classified spending, which consumes a hefty portion of the $4.2 billion space-control portfolio, also limits oversight. Transparency could build public trust, ensuring taxpayer dollars align with broader societal goals rather than opaque projects that may heighten global tensions.

Building a Diverse Force

Thodos's path, from uncertain recruit to leading a collections team, inspires underrepresented groups. Military culture needs to evolve to sustain this momentum. Academic studies confirm that diverse teams drive innovation in space operations, but women and minorities often face barriers in traditional structures.

Expanding interservice transfers, like the program that brought Thodos to the Space Force, can attract seasoned talent. Pairing this with robust support systems, such as GI Bill-style scholarships for transitioning Guardians, would strengthen the workforce while fostering equity and inclusion.

A Vision Beyond Conflict

The Outer Space Treaty of 1967 bans national claims on celestial bodies, and it also lacks clarity on weapons. United Nations votes consistently urge a ban on destructive anti-satellite tests, which create hazardous debris. The U.S. could lead by endorsing a voluntary moratorium on such tests while investing in non-destructive defenses, balancing security with cooperation.

Redirecting resources to NASA's Earth-science missions would yield global benefits, from climate monitoring to disaster response. Diplomacy, grounded in a strengthened treaty framework, could prevent orbit from becoming a battleground, ensuring space remains a shared resource.

Charting a Collective Path

The Space Force's mission, exemplified by Guardians like Thodos, underscores the need for a skilled workforce. But its growth must align with values of transparency, equity, and peace. Capping personnel at current levels while boosting civilian roles at the National Space Defense Center could enhance efficiency and diversity.

A bipartisan commission could design oversight for space budgets, disclosing totals without compromising security. Such steps would reassure taxpayers that their investments prioritize collective well-being over unchecked escalation.

Space holds boundless potential to unite people. By championing inclusion, diplomacy, and science, the U.S. can redefine its role in orbit, ensuring the stars inspire progress rather than conflict.